The Dallas Cowboys travelled to the land of 10,000 lakes to deal with the Minnesota Vikings on Halloween. With the competition completing head to head with Game 5 of the World Collection, the NFL match attracted a larger audience with 12.82 million audiences. Before the begin of the game, the then 5-1 Cowboys reported quarterback Dak Prescott would certainly be inactive leading the way for backup QB Cooper Thrill to get his first NFL beginning.
Thrill was ready for his big minute as well as overcame a backwards and forwards initial half to toss for over 300 backyards and lead a racking up drive with much less than a min left in the video game to hand the then 3-3 Vikings their fourth loss of the season.
In a game with a backup quarterback making his first NFL start, the Cowboys lost the turn over battle for the very first time this season, were called for over 10 penalties as well as routed the majority of the game. As the stating goes, "great football teams discover methods to win" and also the Cowboys did simply that.
Below are the five biggest plays of the video game making use of Expected Things Added (EPA) as well as Win Probability versions from. EPA is a formula that takes historic information and also applies it to every play to figure out if it raises or decreases a group's anticipated factors given the result of that play. Every down and distance has a degree of expected points; the likelihood a group will certainly rack up on that specific drive based on that situation. As a result EPA gauges the change in anticipated factors as a result of a details play.
No. 1: 3rd Quarter - 3-8-DAL 27 (14:18) (Shotgun) C.Rush pass deep middle to C.Wilson for 73 backyards
EPA: +7.3 WP Change: 17% to 37%
Maintain pushin' |:
-- Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys)
The Vikings went into halftime with a win possibility of 81%. After a touchback to begin the 2nd fifty percent and two unsuccessful plays, the Cowboys crime located themselves dealing with a seven-point shortage and a third down. Rush discovered wide receiver Cedrick Wilson in stride after he defeated Vikings cornerback Mackensie Alexander.
Wilson put a carry on safety and security Harrison Smith which enabled him to divide the Vikings protectors for a 73-yard rating. This was a win likelihood change of +20% in the Cowboys prefer taking the chances of a loss from 83% pre-snap to 63% post-snap.
Score 10-10
No. 2: 3rd Quarter, 1-10-DAL 42 (2:06) C.Wilson pass deep right to C.Lamb pressed ob at minutes 23 for 35 yards
EPA: +2.6 WP Shift: 33% to 44%
-- Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys)
With the Vikings up 13-10, offending coordinator Kellen Moore channeled the spirit of Halloween as well as decided to deceive the vikings in order to provide the Cowboys a reward. The Cowboys lined up in an empty set (no running backs in the development) and Thrill under the facility. At the snap he tosses a WR display to the left to Wilson. After capturing the screen, Wilson purchases time in the pocket and connects downfield to port receiver CeeDee Lamb on a deep crossing route in the direction of the opposite side for the field for a 35-yard gain.
This play had an EPA of 2.6 and also decreased the Vikings WP from 67% to 56%, an 11% change in the Cowboys prefer.
No. 3: fourth Quarter, 2-10-DAL 25 (2:46) (Shotgun) C.Rush pass deep right to A.Cooper to minutes 42 for 33 backyards
EPA: +2.4 WP Change: 25% to 37%
. stay workin' |:
-- Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys)
The Cowboys bag of Halloween tricks had not been over after the Wilson-to-Lamb double-pass over. With the Cowboys down 16-13 and attempting to drive to enter into at the very least field-goal array, Rush tossed a ball planned for WR Amari Cooper that experienced Cooper's hands, jumped off Vikings CB Bashaud Breeland breast as well as arm, off of Cooper's right hand once more prior to he has the ability to acquire belongings while being hit by safety Harrison Smith. This unlikely play was a gain of 33 backyards and also had an EPA of +2.4 and shifted the Vikings WP from 75% to 63%.
No. 4: 4th Quarter, 3-11-MIN 20 (1:04) (Shotgun) C.Rush pass short left to E.Elliott to MIN 5 for 15 backyards
EPA: +2.2 WP Change: 46% to 74%
FEED ZEKE !!! |:
-- Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys)
With the Cowboys backs versus the wall the Cowboys were looking at 2 choices: pick up an initially down or opt for a field-goal effort to link the game. With Rush lined up in shotgun, the Vikings rapidly obtained stress while only hurrying four, resulting in Rush needing to do away with the ball. Rush locates an open Ezekiel Elliott going across the center of the field 10 lawns except the first down marker. Elliott decreases his shoulder as well as runs between two Vikings protectors and then has one more two Vikings defenders grab him simply shy of the required backyards.
He broke a third would-be deal with as well as lugged CB Cameron Dantzler an added few backyards on a crucial conversion. This play caused simply the fourth play of the video game that the Cowboys had the benefit in win likelihood.
No. 5: 4th Quarter, 1-5-MIN 5 (:55) (Shotgun)C.Rush pass brief left to A.Cooper for 5 lawns, TOUCHDOWN.
EPA: +1.7 WP Shift: 74% to 86%
Cooper 2 Cooper! |:
-- Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys)
Complying with the acrobatic Cooper catch and amazing willpower of Elliott, the Cowboys discovered themselves down three with under a min staying and also a fresh set of downs.
To be in this position was remarkable. The Cowboys can have lost property on 3 various plays on the drive. The Cooper bobble catch was adhered to by an additional reception where the ball was knockced loosened yet went out of bounds. A couple of plays later on Noah Brown's potential lost fumble was negated by a hands to the face penalty elsewhere on the area.
The decision below is whether to run the sphere to attempt to milk clock before scoring or otherwise. Moore called an RPO (Run/pass alternative) that revealed a positive front for the pass.
Rush discovered Cooper in the back of the end zone for the Cowboys very first lead of the ready a 5 backyard touchdown pass. The Cowboys fifth play with a win likelihood in their favor ended up being the deciding play of the video game in a historic resurgence.
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